BBC

European poodles will soon discover they have cocked their legs in high wind after playing fetch to the United States on the Iranian oil embargo. The blowback is high oil prices, and the strong possibility of a Greek government bond default sparking renewed catastrophe in the eurozone. The rest of the world is dismissing sanctions and all across Eurasia trade is fast moving away from the greenback.
A number of influential members of the United States foreign policy establishment - including prominent liberal interventionists who had supported the Iraq war - are now warning against "letting a bunch of ignorant, sloppy-thinking politicians and politicized foreign-policy experts" further escalate tensions with Iran.
China is considered key to ending the crisis in the Horn of Africa as Sudan's President Omar al-Bashir in effect seeks US$15 billion for assuring the survival of his Western-backed, breakaway neighbor South Sudan. That is Bashir's price for keeping open the pipeline from the South that supplies 5% of China's oil imports. After doing the strategic math, Beijing will likely keep the book shut.
Military experts are questioning Jakarta's decision to purchase Leopard 2A6 battle tanks that seem unsuited to Southeast Asian conditions, arguing that - as in a $1.07 billion order for South Korean submarines - the army seems more focused on matching neighbors' arsenals than in meeting the country's strategic needs.
A South Korean spy who fled to America after revealing Seoul paid Pyongyang at least US$1.5 billion to facilitate the historic June 2000 intra-Korean summit that landed president Kim Dae-jung the Nobel Peace Prize has won US asylum. Kim Kisam faced imprisonment and potentially assassination if extradited. But this didn't stop Washington - under Seoul's pressure - fighting his bid tooth and nail.
Only Kim Jong-nam's status as the late Dear Leader's eldest son is likely staying Pyongyang's assassins after he predicted the regime's imminent demise from Macau while deriding the "third-generation succession" that put his half-brother, Kim Jong-eun, in charge. Despite the risks involved, Jong-nam's remarks will appeal to military leaders who also doubt Jong-eun can fill his father's shoes.
The Internet piracy bills in the United States Congress that prompted Wikipedia's blackout this week are only a taster of the cyber-controls powerful governments are mulling. While unleashing hacker agencies armed with real-world viruses like Stuxnet against rival states, leaders need a grip on the decentralized human networks stealing their secrets and challenging notions of sovereignty. The looming backlash could "fragment the Internet into so many islands".
Inside the minds of our senior financial analysts.
Family traumas span US-Iran divide
A Separation written, produced and directed by Asghar Farhadi
A window into family and class structures in today's Iran, this simple tale of a husband and wife agonizing over leaving an elderly parent only gently reflects on the country's present "circumstance". By sacrificing political symbolism for cinematic realism, the filmmaker has created a work moving enough to win an Oscar nomination.
- Kaveh L Afrasiabi
(Jan 27, '12)

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| Has the Arab Spring been a positive development for the region? | ||
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30.8% | |
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| Not sure yet | 46.2% | |
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